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☆ Will China's comeback stock rally last? Wall Street weighs in and shares stock picks
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

China stocks have staged such a strong rally after a protracted slump for the past few years that they're beating even the S & P 500 so far this year. The MSCI China index, which includes the mainland A-shares, Hong Kong-listed shares and U.S.-listed China names, has jumped around 9%, while the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF is up around 13%. Most analysts said whether the rally can be sustained will largely depend on China policy. How to play China Though most were bullish on China stocks, they would be selective in stock-picking. They include: SPDR S & P China ETF iShares MSCI China A ETF Global X MSCI China Consumer Disc ETF iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF — CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.

Persons: Bernstein, it's, —, Goldman Sachs, Kevin Liu, CICC, Nomura's, Goldman, Kweichow, Ping, Morningstar, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S, CSI China, Investors, CICC Research, CNBC, BYD, SAIC, Changan Automobile, Energy, Anhui, Cement, JPMorgan, Kuaishou, Ping An Insurance, China Merchants Bank, Hong, China, iShares, China Consumer Locations: China, Hong Kong

☆ Goldman Sachs says these China stocks can win even if there's a repeat of Japan's lost decades
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Goldman Sachs calls the China story today one of "rebalancing," and has picked 40 buy-rated stocks to play the theme. They predict certain consumer names, artificial intelligence companies and rising global players will be among the Chinese stocks that can do well. December data and fourth-quarter GDP due out late Tuesday New York time may give more clues on China's economic trajectory — and whether policymakers need to act. For China's economic outlook, comparisons to Japan may ultimately be more academic as the debate has become more about the extent to which national security has replaced economic growth as the priority. "Very often I'm asked the question, will China ignore development as it talks more about security?"

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Japan's, Kinger Lau, Morgan, Robin Xing, Goldman, Lau, Li Qiang, Liu, SICC, Arthur Kroeber, Dragonomics, Liu Jianchao, Michael Bloom Organizations: Beijing, China Equity, China New Economy Summit, China, New, Invesco, Central Commission, Financial, Economic Affairs, Laboratories, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, U.S, StarPower Semiconductor, Wire China, Communist Party's, Foreign Locations: China, Japan, Hong Kong, Beijing, New York, Davos, Shanghai, U.S, Shenzhen, Europe

☆ What’s at stake for the global economy as Taiwan goes to the polls
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-13 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

That pushed Taiwan’s trade surplus with China to an enormous $80.5 billion in 2023. For Taiwan, China has been its favorite investment stop for decades. China imports electronic components or precision machine tools from Taiwan, assembles them and exports the finished products to global markets. China may respond to a DPP victory by putting military and economic pressure on the island, Vest said. In 2022, China retaliated after Pelosi’s visit by banning imports of a range of food products from Taiwan.

Persons: Xi Jinping, Lai Ching, Lai, ”, Charlie Vest, Nancy Pelosi’s, Tsai Ing, Kevin McCarthy, they’re, ” Vest, Mike Kai Chen, Vest, there’s Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Communist Party, Democratic Progressive Party, US, Taiwan’s Ministry of Economic Affairs, Imports, Hsinchu Science, Bloomberg, Getty, Capital Economics, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Apple, Foxconn, Analysts, Atlantic Locations: China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Beijing, Taiwan Strait, California, United States, Europe, Japan, South Korea, “ Taiwan, Hsinchu, Hsinchu Science Park

☆ Putin meets 'dear friend' Xi in Beijing. Here are the top 3 takeaways
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Sergei Savostyanov | Afp | Getty ImagesChina President Xi Jinping and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin were all smiles when they met in Beijing. "Dear friend, I am very glad to see you again," Putin said in a statement ahead of his bilateral meeting with Xi Wednesday. Xi is also looking to Putin as China seeks to reinvigorate its economic foreign policy program. watch nowPutin traveled to Beijing, knowing Xi would guarantee his safety. Here are the main takeaways from the meeting, which underline why China and Russia share strong ties.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Sergei Savostyanov, Putin, Xi, AidData, Mary, Srettha Thavisin, Viktor Orban, Dmitry Peskov, Peskov, Wang Yi, Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud, Biden, it's, Peng Liyuan Organizations: Sputnik, Forum, Afp, Getty Images China, Initiative, Xi, College of William, Moscow, European Union, EU, Rosneft, Gazprom, Tass, Soviet Union, Hamas, U.S, United, of, U.S . Department of Commerce, Getty Locations: Beijing, Ukraine, China, Russia, Thailand, Hungary, Israel, Gaza, Iran, United Nations, Saudi Arabia, Europe, U.S

Israeli assets and the shekel remain under pressure and oil and gold prices are marginally higher than last week. World Markets Impact From MidEast Attacks WanesBlackRock chart on its Geopolitical Risk IndicatorNOWHERE TO RUN TO... Last updated shortly before the weekend events in Israel, BlackRock's Geopolitical Risk Indicator - which attempts to capture market attention to political risks - had indeed crept up to six month highs. Releasing its World Economic Outlook on Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund warned that more volatile commodity prices were a possible reflection of both greater climate and geopolitical risk. And yet hand wringing about geopolitical risk in different corners of the globe can also deflect from rising political risks in core economies - not the least in the United States.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Vincent Mortier, Anna Rosenberg, Kristina Hooper reckons, Hooper, that's, It's, Amundi's Rosenberg, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, Josie Kao Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, West Bank, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, Iran, United States, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, Taiwan, Ukraine

This was reversed in August as strong crude imports and steady domestic output outweighed the record refinery processing rates. This was up 19.6% from the same month in 2022 and also stronger than July's 14.87 million bpd. Crude imports were 12.43 million bpd in August, the third-highest daily rate on record and up 20.9% from July and 30.9% from August last year. Subtracting processing of 15.23 million bpd leaves a surplus of 1.32 million bpd that flowed into storage tanks. The question is how will China's refiners respond to the higher crude oil prices?

Persons: shouldn't, China doesn't, China's, refiners, Sam Holmes Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Brent, Saudi, Reuters, Thomson Locations: LAUNCESTON, Australia, China, OPEC, pare, Iran, Russia, Venezuela

☆ Explainer: Why is China's economy slowing down and could it get worse?
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

REUTERS/Thomas Peter/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsHONG KONG, Sept 1 (Reuters) - China's economic growth is slowing down as policymakers try to fix a property market downturn, with troubles at major developer Country Garden in focus. Concerns are mounting over whether the world's second-largest economy is coming closer to a crunch point:WHAT IS CAUSING CHINA’S ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN? THERE HAVE BEEN MAJOR CONCERNS OVER CHINA'S ECONOMY BEFORE. China's household spending as a proportion of GDP lags that of most other countries. WILL CHINA’S ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN GET WORSE?

Persons: Thomas Peter, Marius Zaharia, Robert Birsel, Neil Fullick Organizations: REUTERS, Communist Party, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, HONG KONG, West, United States, Japan, outflows

☆ Why is China's economy slowing down and could it get worse?
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

☆ Disney diplomacy: US commerce secretary visits China theme park
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( David Shepardson | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/3] U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, is escorted by officials as she tours the Shanghai Disneyland in Shanghai, China, Wednesday, Aug. 30, 2023. After a four-day visit largely filled with long sessions in rooms with Chinese government officials, Raimondo got a quick tour of the Disney park. Ambassador to China Nicholas Burns, confessed she had never before been to a Disney park but said she had seen all of the animated Disney movies. Disney has emphasized its Chinese links since Shanghai Disneyland - a joint venture with state-owned Shendi Group - opened in 2016. Raimondo has said that boosting tourism between the two countries was one objective of her visit to China.

Persons: Gina Raimondo, Andy Wong, Raimondo, " Raimondo, China Nicholas Burns, Taylor Swift, Wolfgang Puck, Mickey Mouse, David Shepardson, Angus MacSwan Organizations: . Commerce, Shanghai, REUTERS Acquire, Rights, Boeing, Disney, U.S, Shendi, New York University, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, Disney

☆ Take Five: Summer at Jackson Hole
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Jason Reed Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Aug 16 (Reuters) - It's summer camp season and not to be left out, U.S. rate setters and overseas pals gather in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to talk central banking. U.S. Federal Reserve officials (plus friends from the ECB, BoE and BOJ) descend on Jackson Hole, Wyoming on Aug. 24-26 for their annual central bank confab. Inflation remains sticky in places and investors want to know how long it will take for central banks to switch to easing. European PMIs could provide a bigger signal on whether the European Central Bank will hike again in September and if the Bank of England opts for a big rate increase. Turkey's central bank is poised to raise rates on Thursday for the third time in a row since Hafize Gaye Erkan was appointed as governor in early June.

Persons: Jason Reed, Ira Iosebashvili, Li Gu, Yoruk, Rosario, Marc Jones, Rachel Savage, BoE, Jackson, Vladimir Putin, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Erkan, Tayyip Erdogan, Dhara Ranasinghe, Stephen Coates Organizations: U.S . Federal, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, ECB, Nvidia, CARE, HK, China, European Central Bank, Bank of England, West, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, China, Ira, New York, Shanghai, Amsterdam, Jorgelina, London, Johannesburg, confab, CHINA, Beijing, United States, European, Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Egypt, Turkey

☆ Morning Bid: China sets sombre tone with property turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Staff/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsA look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin BucklandChina continues to set the mood for markets, and the tone is unswervingly sombre. Such hopes may have bolstered Chinese property shares in the Asian morning, but the wider markets in China and the rest of the region were gloomy. The Hang Seng Index sank about 0.7%, with mainland Chinese, Japanese and South Korean shares all also down. The People's Bank of China was signalling its intent to shore up the yuan again today, setting the official mid-point a whopping 1,000 pips stronger than the Reuters estimate. And with U.S. benchmark yields heading for pre-financial crisis highs, the yield gap between the two economies is yawning.

Persons: Kevin Buckland China, China Evergrande, Will, Philip Lane, Kevin Buckland, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Silicon Valley Bank, Credit Suisse, REUTERS, Staff, South, People's Bank of, Fed, Bank of England, ECB, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Silicon, Germany, China, U.S, People's Bank of China, Will China, Japan, Tokyo, Europe, Asia

☆ 'China has disappointed': These are the top markets and stocks to invest in, according to the pros
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

In contrast, nearly $1 billion went into emerging market ex-China mutual funds, according to Refinitiv data that Reuters cited. Here are some alternatives to China and the stocks to invest in, according to the pros. Japan Japan stocks have been an investor favorite this year, seeing the highest inflows in 20 years, according to Eastspring Investments. Demand for Japan funds has surged among European investors, according to data from research firm Cerulli. The bank screened for Japan stocks with the following attributes: resilient earnings, price-to-book (P/B) ratio below 1.5, and potential P/B upside relative to return on equity.

Persons: Morningstar, “, ”, Derrick Irwin, there's, Oliver Lee, BofA, Joanne Peng, Allspring's Irwin, Irwin, Fomento, He's, Morgan Stanley, Will, ” Irwin, Cerulli’s Peng Organizations: Morningstar, CNBC Pro, Reuters, Allspring Global Investments, CNBC, “, Eastspring Investments, Ivailo, Mitsui & Co, Honda Motor, Nomura, Kansai Electric Power, Mitsubishi Motors, Panasonic, Mexicano, HDFC Bank, HDFC Locations: European, China, India, Beijing, Japan Japan, Japan, Europe, Vietnam, Asia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Southeast Asia, Mexico, America, Will China

Annual consumer price inflation is expected to show a sharp rebound in July to 6.40% from 4.8%, and a slowdown in wholesale price deflation to -2.4% from -4.1%. Investors and the Bank of Japan, meanwhile, will be paying close attention to Japanese inflation data later in the week. Asian stocks have badly underperformed this year, largely due to worries over China which is battling weak growth, deflation, and capital outflows. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan equity index index has now fallen two weeks in a row for the first time since April, and is up only twice in the last eight weeks. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Monday:- India consumer inflation (July)- India wholesale inflation (July)- Germany wholesale inflation (July)By Jamie McGeever; editing by Diane CraftOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Aly Song, Jamie McGeever, Diane Craft Organizations: Shanghai Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Tencent, Lenovo, Nasdaq, China's, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Pudong, Shanghai, China, New Zealand, Philippines, India, Asia, Japan, Beijing, outflows, Germany

☆ Morgan Stanley: These are the 5 key themes shaping the housing market for years to come, and the 5 stock-market industries filled with opportunities and pitfalls investors need to watch for
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Morgan Stanley economists see a stronger housing market cycle and interest rates being cut in 2024. Luckily, Morgan Stanley strategists think the housing market is finally reaching a turning point. That will mark the end of the current craziness and the beginning of a new housing market cycle. As for the US industries and stocks connected to the housing market, Wilson noted that tomorrow's market will bring about different winners and losers. Higher interest rates mean higher mortgage rates, and higher mortgage rates mean lower demand for mortgages.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, homebuyers, there's, isn't, Morgan Stanley Wilson Organizations: Housing Locations: homeownership, rentership

☆ What Japan’s Economy Can Tell Us About China - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

And while this is hard to quantify, lots of people I’ve talked to say that Japanese society is far more dynamic and culturally creative than many outsiders realize. The economist and blogger Noah Smith, who knows the country well, says that Tokyo is the new Paris. Which brings me to the question that I raised at the beginning of this newsletter: Will China be the next Japan? China has a wildly unbalanced economy, with too little consumer demand, kept afloat only by a hypertrophied real estate sector, and its working-age population is declining. I am very definitely not a China expert, but is there any indication that China, especially under an erratic authoritarian regime, is capable of pulling this off?

Persons: I’ve, Noah Smith, China Locations: Tokyo, Paris, Japan, China

[1/5] A worker sweeps a street in the Central Business District on a rainy day in Beijing, China, July 12, 2023. REUTERS/Thomas PeterBEIJING, July 18 (Reuters) - China is entering an era of much slower economic growth, raising a daunting prospect: it may never get rich. He expects growth to slow to 3%, which "will feel like an economic recession" when youth unemployment is already above 20%. The April-June data puts 2023 growth on track for roughly 5%, with slower rates thereafter. But China's annual growth averaged around 7% last decade, and more than 10% in the 2000s.

Persons: Thomas Peter BEIJING, Desmond Lachman, year's, Wang Jun, Zheng Shanjie, Zheng, Richard Koo, Juan Orts, Xi Jinping's, Zhao, Cai Fang, Zhu Ning, Koo, Liangping Gao, Ellen Zhang, Ziyi Tang, Kevin Yao, Joe Cash, Marius Zaharia, David Crawshaw Organizations: Central Business District, REUTERS, American Enterprise Institute, Reuters, Communist, Huatai Asset Management, Reform Commission, Overseas, Nomura Research Institute, Fathom Consulting, Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Japan, United States, Young, Africa, Latin, U.S, Central

July 17 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The macro and market week in Asia starts with a bang on Monday, with a raft of top-tier economic indicators from China culminating in second-quarter GDP growth data. A raft of Chinese economic indicators for June - investment, retail sales, industrial production and unemployment - will be released on Monday, as well as the second-quarter GDP report. A sub-consensus Q2 GDP print on Monday could tilt expectations toward further easing. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Monday:- China GDP (Q2)- China investment, retail sales, industrial production, unemployment (June)- Indonesia trade (June)By Jamie McGeever; Editing byOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bank of America, Tesla, Netflix, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Asia, China, U.S, Japan, New Zealand, Australia, Indonesia

☆ Can China's ChatGPT clones give it an edge over the U.S. in an A.I. arms race?
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( Arjun Kharpal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ChatGPT, the artificial intelligence chatbot developed by U.S. firm OpenAI, has caused excitement around the world. Now Chinese technology giants are rolling out their rivals to ChatGPT. Chinese chatbots are expected to look very different from their Western counterparts. While ChatGPT can answer questions on sensitive topics, Chinese chatbots reportedly shut down some questions. So what exactly will China's rivals to ChatGPT look like, and how will they develop going forward?

☆ Explainer: Why is China so angry about Taiwan president meeting US Speaker McCarthy?
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Here are the key issues in Taiwan-U.S., China-U.S. and Taiwan-China relations, why China is so angry about the meeting and what it might do to express its anger:WHY IS CHINA SO ANGRY? China staged war games around Taiwan last August after then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taipei, and has threatened unspecified retaliation if the McCarthy meeting goes ahead. Taiwan's official name continues to be the Republic of China, though these days the government often stylises it as the Republic of China (Taiwan). She says the Republic of China and People's Republic of China are "not subordinate" to each other. Beijing says Tsai must accept that both China and Taiwan are part of "one China".

☆ WEF Davos: The Future of Energy
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWEF Davos: The Future of EnergyGlobal energy consumption is expected to grow by just 1.3% in 2023 amid higher energy prices and a slowing economy. Disruption to gas supplies and extreme weather may force countries to fall back on to fossil fuels, delaying the transition to green energy. What does this mean for the immediate future of energy and what about the long-term impact? What difference will China’s reopening make to global energy trends? EnQuest CEO Amjad Bseisu and Bharat Light & Power Founder & CEO Tejpreet Singh Chopra discuss.

☆ Oil Prices Are Likely to Stay Steady This Year—With a Couple of Big Ifs
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-13 | by ( Collin Eaton | Benoît Morenne | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Oil prices generally aren’t expected to change dramatically this year, but two big questions loom over that outlook: Will China have the workers needed to rev up its economy as the country loosens its Covid restrictions? And will American energy companies focused on fracking stick to their recent reluctance to bankroll another expensive oil boom? Brent, the international oil standard, peaked above $127 a barrel last year but has since tumbled, trading around $84 a barrel Thursday. Around two-thirds of energy executives surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas late last year expected West Texas Intermediate oil prices—which tend to fluctuate a few dollars a barrel below Brent—to end 2023 between $70 and $90 per barrel. The forecast is based largely on the fact that analysts expect global oil supply to outpace demand this year as economic growth slows.

☆ Oil expected to stay volatile in 2023, but the price could depend on China reopening
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-28 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Keeping a lid on prices Oil futures fell Wednesday amid signs that China is moving ahead to normalize its economy, with the removal of border and travel restrictions. Russia's invasion of Ukraine was the biggest shock to the oil market in the past year, sending prices spiking in the first quarter. Under some scenarios, a strong reopening in China could drive oil close to about $120 if supply is short. The latest efforts to penalize Russia were Europe's ban on seaborne oil, as of Dec. 5, as well as a G-7 price cap on the price Russia can receive for its oil. Morse said more oil supply is coming on line from the U.S. and other Western Hemisphere producers in 2023.

LAUNCESTON, Australia, Dec 20 (Reuters) - The folly and futility of forecasting commodity prices was rammed home this year, with Russia's invasion of Ukraine upending markets and rendering all prior expectations largely irrelevant. The first thing to note about 2022 was that while commodity prices were shocked by Russia's Feb. 24 attack on Ukraine, many are ending the year little changed or weaker than where they concluded 2021. This dynamic is probably already on display in crude oil, the world's most important commodity, with Brent futures poised to end the year little changed from the last trading day of 2021. In contrast to LNG and coal, metals have largely struggled in 2022, notwithstanding the bump from the conflict in Ukraine. The exception is lithium, with battery-grade lithium hydroxide up 132% so far this year as demand from vehicle and battery makers surge.

S&P 500 stocksAll 11 S&P 500 sector indexes declined, led by real estate (.SPLRCR), down 2.81%, and a 2.74% loss in energy (.SPNY). The S&P 500 declined 1.54% to end the session at 3,963.95 points. With two trading days left in November, the S&P 500 is on track for a gain of 2.4% for the month. Trading was mixed in other heavyweight growth stocks, including Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O), Meta Platforms Inc (META.O), Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O) and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O). The S&P 500 posted 12 new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 93 new highs and 174 new lows.

S&P 500 stocksAll 11 S&P 500 sector indexes declined, led by real estate (.SPLRCR), down 2%, followed by a 1.91% loss in energy (.SPNY). In afternoon trading, the S&P 500 (.SPX) was down 1.20% at 3,977.86 points. Trading was mixed in other heavyweight growth stocks, including Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O), Meta Platforms Inc (META.O), Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O) and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O). Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX) by a 7.7-to-one ratio. The S&P 500 posted 11 new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 75 new highs and 120 new lows.

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